Algoma Steel Valuation
| ASTL Stock | USD 4.66 0.00 0.00% |
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Algoma Steel Group shows a prevailing Real Value of $8.24 per share. The current price of the firm is $4.66. Our model approximates the value of Algoma Steel Group from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of (0.35) %, and Return On Equity of -0.1 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Algoma Steel's valuation include:
Price Book 0.7386 | Enterprise Value | Enterprise Value Ebitda 100.1301 | Price Sales 0.2185 | Forward PE 7.5586 |
Undervalued
Today
Please note that Algoma Steel's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Algoma Steel Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Algoma Steel's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Algoma stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Algoma Steel Group. Since Algoma Steel is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Algoma Stock. However, Algoma Steel's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 4.66 | Real 8.24 | Target 20.0 | Hype 4.7 | Naive 4.38 |
The intrinsic value of Algoma Steel's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Algoma Steel's stock price.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Algoma Steel Group helps investors to forecast how Algoma stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Algoma Steel more accurately as focusing exclusively on Algoma Steel's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Algoma Steel's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Algoma Steel's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Algoma Steel's closest peers.
Algoma Steel Cash |
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Algoma Steel Total Value Analysis
Algoma Steel Group is presently anticipated to have valuation of 987.84 M with market capitalization of 412.09 M, debt of 673.2 M, and cash on hands of 1.14 B. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Algoma Steel fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
987.84 M | 412.09 M | 673.2 M | 1.14 B |
Algoma Steel Investor Information
About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.74. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Algoma Steel Group recorded a loss per share of 1.03. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of May 2025. Algoma Steel Group is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high likelihood of going through financial trouble in March.Algoma Steel Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Algoma Steel has an asset utilization ratio of 77.04 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.77 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Algoma Steel Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Algoma Steel Profitability Analysis
Taking into consideration Algoma Steel's profitability measurements, Algoma Steel Group may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the present time. It has a very high likelihood of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Algoma Steel's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.Net Loss | First Reported 2012-09-30 | Previous Quarter -110.6 M | Current Value -485.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 149.5 M |
For Algoma Steel profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Algoma Steel Group to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Algoma Steel utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Algoma Steel's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Algoma Steel over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
Algoma Steel Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
The next projected EPS of Algoma Steel is estimated to be 0.065825 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.075 to a high of 0.3. Algoma Steel's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -1.03. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Algoma Steel Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Algoma Steel Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of Algoma Steel's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Algoma Steel is estimated to be 0.065825 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.075 to a high of 0.3. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Algoma Steel Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
-0.07 Lowest | Expected EPS | 0.30 Highest |
Algoma Steel Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of Algoma Steel's value are higher than the current market price of the Algoma Steel stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Algoma Steel is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Algoma Steel's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 31st of March 2026 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 4 | 28.72% | 0.0 | 0.065825 | -1.03 |
Algoma Steel Ownership Allocation
Algoma Steel holds a total of 104.93 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Algoma Steel Group outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Algoma Steel Group to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Algoma Steel. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Algoma Steel Group as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.Algoma Steel Profitability Analysis
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (222.67 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (405.07 M).Algoma Steel Past Distributions to stockholders
About Algoma Steel Valuation
We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Algoma Steel Group. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Algoma Steel Group based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Algoma Steel's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Algoma Steel's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Algoma Steel. We calculate exposure to Algoma Steel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Algoma Steel's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | -132.3 M | -125.7 M | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
| Operating Profit Margin | (0.11) | (0.10) | |
| Net Loss | (0.08) | (0.08) | |
| Gross Profit Margin | (0.04) | (0.04) |
A single share of Algoma Steel represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Algoma, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.
Algoma Steel Dividends Analysis For Valuation
The value of Dividends Paid is estimated to slide to about 18.4 M. The value of Dividend Yield is estimated to slide to 0.01. Retained Earnings is expected to rise to about 123.2 M this year, although the value of Earnings Yield is projected to rise to (0.12).
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Dividends Paid | 33 M | 18.4 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.02 | 0.01 | |
| Dividend Payout Ratio | (0.15) | (0.14) | |
| Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio | (0.14) | (0.13) |
There are various types of dividends Algoma Steel can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Algoma shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Algoma Steel Group directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Algoma pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Algoma Steel by the value of the dividends paid out.
Algoma Steel Growth Indicators
Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Algoma Steel does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.5 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.93 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 7.5586 |
Algoma Steel Current Valuation Indicators
Algoma Steel's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Algoma Steel's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Algoma Steel, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Algoma Steel's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Algoma Steel's worth.When determining whether Algoma Steel Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Algoma Steel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Algoma Steel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Algoma Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Algoma Steel Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Algoma Steel. If investors know Algoma will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Algoma Steel assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.93) | Dividend Share 0.427 | Earnings Share (1.03) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
The market value of Algoma Steel Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Algoma that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Algoma Steel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Algoma Steel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Algoma Steel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Algoma Steel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Algoma Steel's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Algoma Steel represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Algoma Steel's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.